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Russia-Ukraine warfare information: Ukraine counteroffensive received’t attain Melitopol, U.S. predicts Lalrp

Lalrp.org:

A Ukrainian soldier runs in a trench throughout a fight operation on the entrance line within the Zaporizhzhya area, on Aug. 10. (Libkos/AP)

U.S. intelligence officers don’t anticipate Ukraine to succeed in the Russian-occupied metropolis of Melitopol in its counteroffensive, in response to individuals aware of a labeled forecast. Melitopol is on the intersection of two necessary highways and a railroad line that permit Russia to maneuver troops and provides from the Crimean peninsula to different occupied territories in southern Ukraine.

In Moscow, officers reported early Friday {that a} drone was shot down. Russia’s Protection Ministry accused Ukraine of “launching a terrorist assault.”

Right here’s the most recent on the warfare and its ripple results throughout the globe.

Ukraine’s forces, that are pushing towards Melitopol from the city of Robotyne greater than 50 miles away, will stay a number of miles exterior the town, U.S. officers predicted. In the event that they fail to eject Russian troops from Melitopol, it’ll imply Ukraine will fail to attain one in every of its key objectives within the ongoing counteroffensive: to sever the land bridge connecting Russia to the Crimean peninsula, which Moscow seized from Kyiv in 2014.

The drone that was shot down in Russia’s capital fell on a nonresidential constructing, Russia’s Protection Ministry said. There have been no casualties or fires ensuing from the interception, the ministry stated.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Thursday signed laws extending martial legislation till mid-November. If martial legislation just isn’t lifted, nationwide parliamentary elections scheduled for the autumn might be delayed. The structure stipulates that parliamentary elections ought to happen no later than Oct. 29 and presidential elections early subsequent 12 months.

Gene Spektor, a U.S. citizen in Russia, was taken into custody on espionage expenses Thursday, in response to Russian state media. Spektor had beforehand been convicted of bribery. A State Division spokesperson, who spoke on the situation of anonymity to debate a delicate diplomatic difficulty, stated officers have been monitoring the state of affairs. “When a U.S. citizen is detained abroad, the Division works to supply all acceptable help,” the spokesperson stated.

Ukraine stated it doesn’t anticipate to fly U.S.-built F-16 fighter jets in battle this 12 months. “We had huge hopes for this airplane, that it’ll change into a part of air protection, in a position to shield us from Russia’s missiles and drones terrorism,” Ukrainian air drive spokesman Yuriy Ihnat instructed a joint telethon broadcast by native channels. “It’s already apparent that we will be unable to guard Ukraine with F-16 plane this fall and winter,” he stated. The primary batch of pilots coaching on the plane have confronted delays.

Ukraine will host a protection industries discussion board within the fall, Zelensky said. “It will likely be the primary time such a large-scale occasion might be held on the state degree. Ukrainian and overseas arms producers might be invited, he stated. The event will search to spice up arms manufacturing inside Ukraine “by localization with companions,” he added.

A brand new Pentagon assessment of organic threats says Russia most likely maintains the flexibility to create lethal toxins and pathogens, The Washington Publish reported. Moscow additionally has an lively offensive organic weapons program, in response to the report. In March 2022, the White Home warned that Russia may make use of bioweapons in Ukraine. There may be some restricted proof that Russia has used low-grade chemical assaults in Ukraine, and Zelensky stated final 12 months that Moscow had used bombs that dispersed white phosphorus, a extremely incendiary chemical. Moscow on the time denied it had violated worldwide conventions.

Germany unveiled a brand new safety help package deal to Ukraine. Berlin will ship Kyiv two IRIS-T SLS air protection programs, 10 floor surveillance radars and a number of other thousand rounds of smoke ammunition, in response to an updated list of Germany’s navy support to Ukraine. Zelensky expressed thanks in his nightly tackle for the brand new provides.

Turkey criticized Russia’s raid of a ship final week that occurred close to Turkey’s coast within the Black Sea. In a post on X, previously referred to as Twitter, a Turkish presidential workplace stated Russia had been warned to keep away from such makes an attempt as a result of they might “escalate tensions within the Black Sea.” Russia has described the incident as an inspection of the ship, earlier than it sailed on to Ukraine.

The Czech Republic put the pinnacle of the Russian-owned Tactical Missiles Corp. on its sanctions checklist alongside together with his daughter and son-in-law after a marketing campaign by Russian activists. Boris Obnosov, whose firm produces missiles and aerial bombs which have been destroying Ukrainian cities, continued to stay in Prague, the Czech capital, after Russia’s invasion. He and different relations reportedly personal actual property in Prague price greater than $8 million.

Russia recruited operatives on-line to focus on weapons crossing Poland: Polish authorities suspect that Russia’s navy intelligence company constructed a community of amateurs to hold out espionage and sabotage missions inside Poland, Greg Miller, Loveday Morris and Mary Ilyushina report. Russia’s goal was to disrupt a weapons pipeline by Poland that accounts for greater than 80 p.c of the navy {hardware} delivered to Ukraine, Polish and Western officers say.

The foiled operation posed essentially the most critical Russian menace on NATO soil since Moscow launched its invasion of Ukraine final 12 months, in response to Polish officers. “That is the primary signal that the Russians try to arrange sabotage — even terrorist assaults — in Poland,” stated Stanislaw Zaryn, who oversees the nation’s safety companies.